Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 14.732166 16.809678 19.035929 21.594411 24.448705 27.530217 31.103836
2024-10-13 11.729684 14.523929 17.730305 21.663887 26.340445 31.702545 38.294795
2024-10-20 9.139654 12.227180 16.004485 20.925362 27.121656 34.616421 44.313239
2024-10-27 7.143426 10.298260 14.401685 20.058013 27.569068 37.107382 50.027323
2024-11-03 6.216685 9.585696 14.213415 20.916507 30.235939 42.572370 59.940718
2024-11-10 5.771885 9.453544 14.762144 22.793167 34.412017 50.348670 73.532472
2024-11-17 5.171761 8.988479 14.758336 23.860275 37.536455 56.933187 86.025660
2024-11-24 4.431142 8.179275 14.121514 23.893522 39.132826 61.461340 95.951989
2024-12-01 3.694544 7.248405 13.158171 23.285985 39.666630 64.437630 103.801461
2024-12-08 3.182821 6.612959 12.576529 23.192335 40.942393 68.560855 113.578734
2024-12-15 2.824041 6.190311 12.289077 23.530169 42.901095 73.825116 125.388174
2024-12-22 2.446249 5.664823 11.745534 23.352973 43.965622 77.717958 135.266276
2024-12-29 2.289538 5.566793 11.991163 24.635194 47.680010 86.246240 153.265713
2025-01-05 2.019970 5.186076 11.651523 24.810274 49.481123 91.751920 166.725865
2025-01-12 1.693491 4.617560 10.862303 24.042514 49.516101 94.271807 175.391511
2025-01-19 1.404214 4.073485 10.040428 23.104681 49.132400 96.013675 182.818337
2025-01-26 1.311488 3.987275 10.177467 24.105254 52.481792 104.534076 202.423545
2025-02-02 1.309042 4.130597 10.836576 26.249863 58.203788 117.649524 230.788516
2025-02-09 1.238813 4.081783 11.052751 27.471890 62.193304 127.829096 254.451714
2025-02-16 1.102192 3.823048 10.744414 27.519724 63.821322 133.723816 270.693476
2025-02-23 0.943205 3.463914 10.141299 26.838910 63.886488 136.659931 281.655857
2025-03-02 0.834495 3.229267 9.810686 26.737438 65.140592 141.921642 297.175710
2025-03-09 0.760915 3.087392 9.695835 27.123112 67.450277 149.342324 317.086737